Unyaka we-2022 kungekudala uya kuba ngaphezu kwesiqingatha, kwaye amaxabiso eentsimbi ezingenayo i-ferrous kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka ahluke kakhulu kwikota yokuqala neyesibini.Kwikota yokuqala, kwiintsuku ezilishumi zokuqala zika-Matshi, i-market high-high-level market ekhokelwa yi-lunni iqhube i-LME i-tin, ithusi, i-aluminium kunye ne-zinc kwirekhodi eliphezulu;Kwikota yesibini, igxininiswe kwisiqingatha sesibini sikaJuni, i-tin, i-aluminium, i-nickel kunyeubhedungokukhawuleza wavula umkhwa wokuhla, kwaye icandelo elingekho i-ferrous lawela kwibhodi.

Okwangoku, iintlobo ezintathu ezine-retreat enkulu ukusuka kwindawo yerekhodi yi-nickel (-56.36%), i-tin (-49.54%) kunye ne-aluminium (-29.6%);Ubhedu (-23%) yeyona nto ikhutshwa ngokukhawuleza kwiphaneli.Ngokubhekiselele ekusebenzeni kwexabiso eliphakathi, i-zinc yayinokumelana nokuhla kwaye yasala ngasemva kwikota yesibini (ixabiso lekota eliphakathi lisanyuka nge-5% ngenyanga).Ukukhangela phambili kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, ukulungiswa komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali we-Federal Reserve kunye nokubuyiswa koqoqosho lwasekhaya emva kobhubhane zizikhokelo ezibini eziphambili ze-macro.Emva kokuhla okubukhali phakathi enyakeni, iintsimbi ezingenayo i-ferrous zaqala ukusondela kwinkxaso yobugcisa bexesha elide.Indlela yentengiso yenkunzi ukusukela oko ubhubhane uza kuthatha indawo yomothuko wentengiso okwinqanaba eliphezulu kunye nobubanzi bawo.Ngaphantsi kwe-inventri ephantsi, ixabiso le-elasticity yeentsimbi ezingenayo isinyithi kunye nobhedu njengoko undoqo unokuba mkhulu kakhulu, uwela ngokukhawuleza kwaye unyuke ngokukhawuleza, ngokuphindaphindiweyo, kwaye ifom inokuthi ifane ne-sawtooth shock kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2006. , ubhedu lunokuguquguquka malunga ne-$ 1000 uluhlu ngexesha elifutshane.

Kwi-atmosphere ye-macro, imarike kulula ukuyiphinda: okokuqala, imarike ivulekile kwaye ayithintelwanga kwisimo sengqondo sokunyusa inzala ye-Fed.Nangona iJoint Reserve hawks ichasene nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okwangoku, ukuba imeko-bume yokukhula yonakele okanye imarike eyinkunzi yemalike inefuthe elibi, isingqi esiqiniswayo seFed sinokuhlengahlengiswa nangaliphi na ixesha.Okwangoku, imarike ijongene nexabiso eliphezulu lokuqiniswa, elifana "novavanyo loxinzelelo";Ukuba imilinganiselo yokunyusa inzala ibekwe ngokukhawuleza kwaye ulindelo lokunciphisa inzala kunyaka ozayo luyaqhubeka luvutha, imvakalelo yemarike inokuguqulwa ngokukhawuleza;Okwesibini, phantsi kwemvelaphi ye-normalization yengxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine, kunzima ukuba imarike iguqule isimo sayo sengqondo malunga nokunyuka kwamaxabiso exesha elide, kwaye kunzima ukugcina ukunikezelwa kwegesi yendalo eYurophu, ngakumbi ekwindla nasebusika. kulo nyaka;Okwesithathu, isingqisho sezoqoqosho.Kufuneka kube nzima ukubona iimpawu eziphambili zezoqoqosho zase-United States zingena kwi-recession kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.Emva kokuba uqoqosho lwangaphakathi luhlile kwikota yesibini, ukuchacha kobhubhane kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka kuya kuba yeyona meko inamandla efunekayo enyakeni.Sikholelwa ukuba imvakalelo yokurhweba kwimarike iya kutshintsha ngokukhawuleza kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.Nangona ukuhla kwexesha elifutshane kukhulu, akuzange kungene kwimarike yeebhere.

Ngokubhekiselele kunikezelo kunye nemfuno, uphawu oluhambelanayo lwesiseko sesinyithi luluhlu oluphantsi, olunokubonelela ngokuguquguquka okwaneleyo.Kwimeko yokufudumala kweemfuno zasekhaya, izithintelo zokubonelela kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka zichaza amandla ahambelanayo eentlobo zetsimbi ezingenayo i-ferrous.Sikholelwa ukuba ngokweeprojekthi ezintsha kunye nomthamo wokusebenza, indawo yokubonelela nge-nickel kunye ne-aluminium ikhululekile, kwaye i-nickel ubukhulu becala kukuzaliseka ngokuthe ngcembe kweeprojekthi ezahlukeneyo e-Indonesia;I-Aluminiyam ixhasa ubukhulu becala amandla okusebenza asekhaya ngokulawulwa kabini kokusetyenziswa kwamandla kunye nokupholisa kunye nokubonelela okuzinzileyo kunye nexabiso.Indawo yonikezelo lweubhedukwaye i-tin iyafana, kwaye kukho ingxaki enkulu yonikezelo lwexesha elide, kodwa kukho ukwanda konikezelo olucacileyo kulo nyaka.Ilothe kukubonelela kunye nokunwebeka kwexabiso;Nangona kunjalo, i-zinc iqinile ngokulinganayo kwibhalansi yokubonelela ekhaya kunye nemfuno kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.Sikholelwa ukuba kwicandelo leentsimbi ezingenayo i-nonferrous, ubhedu lubonisa ubukhulu becala uvakalelo lwentengiso kunye nokothuka okubanzi.Umsebenzi wangoku kukufumana ngokukhawuleza inkxaso yomda ophantsi.Ukuqwalasela izinto ezisisiseko, i-aluminium nickel ibuthathaka kwaye i-zinc yomelele;Ukuqwalasela umtsalane wesihloko, ukuhla kwe-tin kukhulu, kwaye imboni yemigodi ephezulu kunye nokunyibilikisa inomdla kakhulu kwixabiso.Sinomdla ngakumbi kwi-zinc kunye ne-tin.

Lilonke, sikholelwa ukuba i-nickel ibuthathaka kwaye i-zinc inokuba namandla;I-Tin ingaba ngowokuqala ukuchukumisa ezantsi, kunye nobhedu kunye ne-aluminium ngokuyininzi i-vibration engathathi hlangothi emva kokufumana inkxaso ephantsi yomda;Ukuguquguquka okunamandla kunye nobhedu njengoko ingundoqo iya kuba yinto ephambili yokurhweba kwiintsimbi ezingenayo i-ferrous kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka.